Tame-Linen
0x4ee2e481b0ea1bfc746d894edfec87494d690b0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$628.62
Total PnL
$61.73
Realised
$-11.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 66.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.79
$25.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$108.60
$10.20
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?
116 shares @ 78.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.07
$13.52
- NO
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 78.2¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.62
$2.38
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
124 shares @ 67.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.86
$10.52
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 82.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.21
$7.47
- NO
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$21.19
$2.86
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
28 shares @ 39.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.29
$1.45
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.41
$1.91
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.59
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?$4.30Jul 12, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?$4.30Jul 12, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?$40.00Jul 3, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?$39.00Jul 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?$11.55Jul 3, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?$11.27Jul 2, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?$8.17Jun 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?$56.40Jun 25, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?$23.26Jun 13, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?$65.00Jun 8, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?$50.00Jun 8, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?$14.20Jun 8, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?$17.00Jun 8, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?$91.13Jun 8, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$34.40Jun 8, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?$91.13Jun 8, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?$84.24May 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$12.00May 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$11.40May 28, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $45.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.