Ultimate-Fighter
0x4ee2e8608a7292f469d386f494b1f99f6e2dd469
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.26
Total PnL
$-19.21
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?
1091 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?
1081 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 15?
1062 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 3?
1061 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 1?
1057 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?
1056 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 27?
1036 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.03May 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.02May 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.02May 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.28May 5, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.11May 4, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.30May 4, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.10Apr 22, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.22Apr 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?$2.16Mar 25, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?$2.11Mar 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 15?$2.12Feb 15, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.02Feb 10, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?$3.27Feb 10, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 3?$6.37Feb 3, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.01Feb 2, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 1, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Feb 1, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Feb 1, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.03Feb 1, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 1?$1.06Feb 1, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $336.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".