Polished-League
0x4ef207f93d576b4b85baee1b9138cf45d32500dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$92.24
Total PnL
$0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 22?
48 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$48.09
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 16?
35 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$35.10
$0.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 22?$48.00Apr 21, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 16?$35.00Apr 15, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 7?$24.14Apr 7, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 7?$24.00Apr 6, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$89.27Apr 1, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.01Apr 1, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 26?$26.08Mar 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 26?$26.00Mar 24, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on March 18?$27.05Mar 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on March 18?$27.00Mar 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$89.00Mar 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.00Mar 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.00Mar 7, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?$13.01Mar 1, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?$1.00Feb 27, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?$1.00Feb 27, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?$13.00Feb 26, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$12.02Feb 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$18.18Feb 22, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$12.00Jan 30, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $29.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".