Nocturnal-Softdrink
0x4ef3b15ef4c934797935e7be40d4f49c3be1a816
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$19.08
Total PnL
$1.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.84
$0.84
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.73
$0.73
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$1.05Feb 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$5.00Feb 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$4.23Feb 22, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rabby launch a token in 2025?$0.00Feb 16, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.00Feb 16, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? $0.00Feb 16, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? $0.00Feb 16, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rabby launch a token in 2025?$1.08Feb 16, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.28Feb 16, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? $2.33Feb 16, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? $4.23Feb 16, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$3.00Nov 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rabby launch a token in 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? $3.00Nov 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? $2.00Nov 15, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.10Nov 15, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$4.31Nov 15, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.