Conventional-Bonfire
0x4ef4a23a0f7e54d4ee3b7fba0ab20833729e7ed6
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$111.05
Total PnL
$-148.86
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 93.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.74
$0.64
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
35 shares @ 47.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.42
$-6.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on May 27?
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$7.64
$1.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 27?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 27?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.25
$3.25
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.01
$0.31
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.01
$0.43
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.95
$1.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.80
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?
5 shares @ 85.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.79
$0.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 26?$10.91May 26, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?$4.99May 26, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?$2.80May 26, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 27?$4.00May 26, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28?$2.00May 26, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$3.75May 26, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?$0.57May 26, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?$1.40May 26, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$0.83May 26, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$0.25May 26, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 25?$5.00May 26, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 24?$5.00May 26, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 27?$0.08May 26, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 27?$0.48May 26, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?$4.30May 26, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 27?$0.00May 26, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 27?$0.09May 26, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?$4.35May 26, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 27?$0.57May 26, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 27?$0.13May 26, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".