Careless-Freight
0x4ef5b37df38fa0d5707e4a471096480657b684c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
90
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-530.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 9?
2669 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 9?
2556 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-129.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on April 10?
1374 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on April 10?
1017 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 9?
880 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-38.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 9?
703 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 9?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?
84 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9?
69 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)$3.76May 7, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?$14.55May 7, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 20?$0.91Apr 20, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 20?$4.45Apr 20, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 20?$51.78Apr 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?$0.49Apr 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 20?$13.00Apr 20, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?$1.28Apr 20, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?$2.53Apr 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?$11.55Apr 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?$7.50Apr 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?$4.28Apr 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?$1.50Apr 18, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?$25.00Apr 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?$6.00Apr 18, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?$0.00Apr 18, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 12?$0.00Apr 18, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 18, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 9?$0.00Apr 18, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Who wins the toss?$0.00Apr 18, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".