Downright-Outlook
0x4ef77013fd93228637f07f6a8cbf727100cb1b0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$9.22
Total PnL
$1.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7 have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?$6.60May 19, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.34Apr 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Apr 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Apr 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.35Apr 7, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.15Apr 1, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31.30Mar 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31.24Mar 19, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$17.48Mar 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$17.50Mar 8, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.36Mar 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.36Feb 24, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.78Feb 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17Feb 14, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Feb 12, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Feb 4, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.62Feb 2, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.24Jan 26, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$71.63Jan 22, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$71.41Jan 15, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".