Amused-Sampan
0x4ef937c43bd646bf448fdfe007a558c30e4a94c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
93
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-246.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 4?
1008 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?
626 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?
523 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 4?
187 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 3?
69 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?
49 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?
39 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 29?
38 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?
34 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 5?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 5?$4.79Jul 5, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 5?$4.99Jul 5, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 5?$4.43Jul 5, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 5?$4.85Jul 5, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?$5.99Jul 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?$4.56Jul 5, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 5?$4.99Jul 5, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 5?$4.67Jul 5, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 5?$4.99Jul 5, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 5?$4.52Jul 4, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?$6.73Jul 4, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?$3.92Jul 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 4?$3.80Jul 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?$4.99Jul 4, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?$4.81Jul 4, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?$5.87Jul 4, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?$4.92Jul 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 4?$4.43Jul 4, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 4?$7.38Jul 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 4?$1.96Jul 4, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.