Tepid-Fatigue
0x4efd1504bb6222c965c55f50d7254938df64f6f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$46.50
Total PnL
$-3.84
Realised
$10.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$7.40
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
20 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$0.66
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
40 shares @ 60.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$-19.80
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.30
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$5.00Mar 17, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$24.00Mar 1, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.34Mar 1, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$12.60Mar 1, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$40.00Feb 28, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$29.64Feb 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.17Feb 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$9.00Feb 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.29Feb 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.80Feb 28, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$30.00Feb 28, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8.00Feb 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8.90Feb 28, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 15:24 UTC
- MERGEUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 14:38 UTC
- SPLITUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$9.22Feb 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$9.50Feb 23, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $15.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.