Lumbering-Round
0x4effeefe3f5d1da6eeb10fb9fed509b35e4e6d2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.41
Total PnL
$-80.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.18
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.15
$-0.00
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.09
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4AM ET
2550 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-35.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8AM ET
1300 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-44.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.08Jun 5, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jun 5, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.18Jun 5, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$1.09Jun 5, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.61Jun 5, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$1.08May 8, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?$2.10May 8, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.60May 8, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on April 5?$1.11May 8, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?$2.45May 8, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.94May 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on April 5?$1.10Apr 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?$2.40Apr 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.30Apr 4, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.56Apr 4, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.30Mar 17, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.06Mar 17, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$9.7KMar 16, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$9.8KMar 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8AM ET$0.30Mar 16, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $455.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".