Meager-Castanet
0x4f014a7631eee1fa4ad92f47467edc702f6745a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$53.50
Total PnL
$0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$10.20
$0.12
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.70
$0.01
- NO
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.59
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% by the end of May?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.34
$0.01
- NO
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.29
$0.02
- NO
Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$6.38
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$6.32May 31, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% by the end of May?$9.33May 31, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$8.27May 31, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.69May 31, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.22May 30, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?$10.38May 30, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.67May 30, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.21Apr 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.63Apr 20, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?$10.27Apr 19, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.12Apr 15, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.21Apr 15, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?$10.46Apr 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?$10.44Mar 31, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.20Mar 31, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?$10.08Mar 31, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.11Mar 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.55Mar 30, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$9.15Mar 17, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $128 in February?$10.12Mar 17, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.