Arid-Organization
0x4f06cffcfca8e61a44c25d8348aed6784a5f3905
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-38.03
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?
14830 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
612 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-275.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
505 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- MOUZ NXT
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage
492 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-77.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
489 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-299.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
358 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
321 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
313 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-113.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
260 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.38May 9, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.39May 9, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00May 9, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.64May 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.34May 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$76.04May 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$76.22May 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$68.37May 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$13.13May 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$45.02May 9, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.17May 9, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$15.53May 9, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$15.56May 9, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$15.57May 9, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$15.55May 9, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$55.19May 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$15.53May 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$15.53May 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$15.21May 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$15.22May 9, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $28.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 03:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".