Composed-Significance
0x4f08bca8d7e13ac214e6bdb10a0d3b0b6be7ead2
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$354.75
Total PnL
$78.32
Realised
$205.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 8.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.75
$-5.75
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
8000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$60.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
22384 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- YES
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- JAKUB MENSIK
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
50 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.14Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.91Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.31Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.57Jun 13, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $23.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.