Disguised-Neighborhood
0x4f1121d461783a19f5cc9d74b3af3a59bdd461a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.45
Total PnL
$-24.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
213 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.45
$-1.17
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
3220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?
240 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will FK Sochi win on 2025-12-07?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-07?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.14Feb 28, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$12.20Feb 27, 23:54 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Feb 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?$1.32Feb 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?$1.56Feb 26, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$12.00Feb 26, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$2.00Feb 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?$2.20Feb 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?$1.80Feb 24, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.62Jan 20, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.22Dec 7, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Sochi win on 2025-12-07?$1.00Dec 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Volendam win on 2025-12-07?$1.00Dec 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$4.00Dec 5, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$4.00Dec 5, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Nov 4, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Nov 4, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$0.65Nov 4, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$1.00Oct 25, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".