Starry-Trap
0x4f1298339ffa798fa2be807db205ceca87c48140
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.6K
Realised
$-6.2K
Win rate
0%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- OVER
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5
109783 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.3K
- OVER
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5
107055 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-22.7K
- OVER
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
87981 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-23.7K
- OVER
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
64054 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.7K
- OVER
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
61055 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.5K
- OVER
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
58876 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.5K
- OVER
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
50134 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.7K
- OVER
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
49154 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.9K
- OVER
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
48662 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.6K
- OVER
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
47440 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$9.80Aug 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.17Aug 12, 17:27 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$53.01Aug 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$142.95Aug 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$193.68Aug 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$131.81Aug 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$124.80Jul 31, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$44.51Jul 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$29.64Jul 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$42.56Jul 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$78.56Jul 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$106.82Jul 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$44.49Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.33Jul 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.50Jul 23, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.78Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$134.64Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$35.37Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$47.93Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$58.71Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $6.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 17:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.