Flawed-Treaty
0x4f153144d687d15ec459f6e583d6de9e82f72a57
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.16
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
112 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
42 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
28 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
21 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Substance" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
4 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.69Mar 3, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Mar 3, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$2.69Mar 3, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$1.88Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$1.73Mar 2, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump issue an executive order on February 15?$0.00Feb 23, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Kenny win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?$0.00Feb 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$2.00Feb 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$1.82Feb 17, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?$0.00Feb 16, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norman Powell win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?$0.00Feb 16, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matas Buzelis win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?$0.00Feb 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matas Buzelis win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?$0.05Feb 16, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?$2.05Feb 16, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.02Feb 16, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Kenny win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?$1.05Feb 16, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?$1.80Feb 16, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyler Herro win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?$6.19Feb 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norman Powell win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?$1.00Feb 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyler Herro win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?$1.00Feb 15, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".