Waterlogged-Retrospect
0x4f18ad3159db7edfceeece72617571fc4e3e6e49
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-217.88
Realised
$4.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
8000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 14-21?
1841 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
475 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-15.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET
230 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.77
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?
180 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
151 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-15.40
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
109 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- WALKER
Menifield vs. Walker
90 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-29.70
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.04Feb 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.85Feb 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.35Feb 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$5.80Feb 13, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.80Feb 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.23Feb 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.35Feb 13, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$3.00Jan 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$15.19Dec 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$5.81Dec 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$9.59Dec 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$30.60Dec 20, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$6.16Jul 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$21.56Jul 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$1.54Jul 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$1.54Jul 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$7.86Jul 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$8.10Jul 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$1.29Jul 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3AM ET$9.75Jul 18, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".