Tense-Symmetry-Calm
0x4f1af091d122e76fa5b1a8ec115c554ec481bc89
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.9K
Total PnL
$-85.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
3906 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$2.5K
$-19.53
- YES
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
2631 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.5K
$-13.42
- OVER
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
2940 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.5K
$-14.70
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
1298 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$992.97
$-6.49
- YES
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
1492 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$992.18
$-7.46
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-2.5)
1785 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$990.67
$-8.93
- YES
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
1960 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$989.80
$-9.80
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
1111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$494.39
$-5.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$507.15Jun 22, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$506.34Jun 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$495.56Jun 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5 AND France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$476.23Jun 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 4.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$949.79Jun 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$506.76Jun 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$505.24Jun 22, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$1.0KJun 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$1.0KJun 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$1.0KJun 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$1.0KJun 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$1.0KJun 22, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$1.0KJun 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$508.20Jun 22, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2.0KJun 22, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$2.2KJun 22, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.6KJun 22, 02:27 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.00Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.0KJun 21, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$1.0KJun 21, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$58.8K
Trades
6
Buy share
30%
Window
Jun 11, 12:30 UTC → Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- SELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$13.7K@99¢Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- SELLSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$11.6K@71¢Jun 13, 19:52 UTC
- SELLSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$6.2K@77¢Jun 13, 19:42 UTC
- SELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$10.0K@36¢Jun 11, 20:18 UTC
- BUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$10.0K@67¢Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- BUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$7.4K@79¢Jun 11, 12:28 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 6 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$58.8K
6 trades
Buy share
30%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
$13.7K · 23% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $799.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.