Grown-Fence
0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$251.15
Total PnL
$-152.5K
Realised
$14.5K
Win rate
39%
146 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-242.49
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in NYC on June 13?$5.03Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 13?$5.03Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13?$5.03Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13?$5.03Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?$2.07Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 13?$5.01Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 13?$5.03Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$4.91Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?$4.23Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13?$4.98Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?$4.02Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- CONVERSIONIEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner$0.01Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONIEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner$0.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONIEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner$0.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- CONVERSIONQatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score$10.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- MERGEExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- MERGEExact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland?$10.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- MERGEExact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?$10.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- MERGEExact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland?$10.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- MERGEExact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland?$10.00Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $7.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 146 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.