Empty-Theory
0x4f1e968d3d65a32a4ab0436baa918018910ff988
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$1.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
40107 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-924.87
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
39110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-695.53
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
18519 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
18406 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-162.99
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
6250 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
5450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.77
- YES
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
4860 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-72.60
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
1050 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
538 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$5.3KJan 2, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$65.07Dec 31, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$360.00Dec 31, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.3KDec 31, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.4KDec 31, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$20.0KDec 31, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$200.00Dec 3, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$3.44Nov 27, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.02Nov 27, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.03Nov 27, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.23Nov 27, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$59.95Nov 27, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.05Nov 27, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$42.81Nov 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.01Nov 27, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$4.80Nov 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.01Nov 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.01Nov 26, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.02Nov 26, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$0.01Nov 26, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.