Equatorial-Historian
0x4f26c848c4b3ee2366994419d833e1b1df6fae73
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$31.68
Total PnL
$-247.45
Realised
$-50.04
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
13 shares @ 94.2¢·now 65.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.40
$-3.66
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?
10 shares @ 92.5¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.40
$-1.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.32
$-1.17
- YES
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.27
$-0.39
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.88
$-0.68
- NO
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.14
$0.05
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
51 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.99
$-3.08
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.28
$-2.78
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June?
2267 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.86
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 15-21?
2008 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$4.65Aug 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$7.41Aug 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?$4.55Aug 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?$3.06Aug 3, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026?$3.00Aug 3, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?$0.07Aug 2, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?$4.00Aug 2, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$2.50Jul 25, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$0.63Jul 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1.02Jul 25, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.49Jul 23, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$0.07Jul 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?$5.06Jul 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 20?$0.02Jul 20, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$4.70Jul 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$5.00Jul 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$0.83Jul 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$2.02Jul 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$1.90Jul 18, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.60?$13.20Jul 16, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.