0x4f296df8833b5d25e5ea3cb86849110e033be013
0x4f296df8833b5d25e5ea3cb86849110e033be013
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$64.50
Total PnL
$-4.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$35.71
$30.71
- YES
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.35
$2.35
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2025?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$6.58
$1.58
- NO
Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Trump tweet on inauguration day?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$5.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
21 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$5.00Jan 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$5.00Jan 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.00Jan 20, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?$5.00Jan 17, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?$5.00Jan 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$5.00Jan 17, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?$5.00Jan 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet on inauguration day? $5.00Jan 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?$5.00Jan 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$5.00Jan 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin up in Q1 2025?$5.00Jan 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?$5.00Jan 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$5.00Jan 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?$2.00Jan 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$1.00Jan 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.00Nov 10, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 10, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".