Upbeat-Aid
0x4f2b9637568cea85c54db35869c59c13dedfe4a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$27.12
Total PnL
$-8.86
Realised
$-1.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$9.11
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$2.37
$0.00
- NO
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 8?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$298.51Nov 10, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Nov 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$308.80Nov 8, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$298.01Nov 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$300.70Nov 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$10.00Nov 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 8?$3.00Nov 8, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.15Nov 7, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.39Nov 7, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$2.00Sep 24, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.00Sep 24, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$1.04Sep 24, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran in July?$1.19Sep 24, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?$1.39Sep 24, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$2.00Jul 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?$1.00Jul 10, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in July?$1.00Jul 10, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$1.00Jul 10, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?$0.00Jul 10, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $46.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.