Everlasting-Mammoth
0x4f2c9328d4ca8d4ef7f4811d922f738192a178c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-164.84
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the US strike Yemen next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
240 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?
124 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?
118 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.20
- ST. FRANCIS (PA) RED FLASH
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Xavier Musketeers
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
24 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?$2.20May 16, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?$1.11May 16, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$1.21May 14, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$0.20May 14, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$0.50May 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$2.78May 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$0.49May 14, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$2.31May 13, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$0.63May 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$1.05May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$0.21May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$2.67May 13, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$3.33May 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$5.86May 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$0.10May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$1.50May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$0.04May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$1.50May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$3.24May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?$15.69May 13, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".