Biodegradable-Ecosystem
0x4f2f7babe945e206d70440dd4780737e196a017a
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 15.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.5K
$2.1K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
2222 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.2K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$326.25
$-73.75
- NO
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
24272 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
13750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
12556 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
5531 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-194.92
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2562 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-409.92
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2315 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
2281 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.