Acrobatic-Jail
0x4f302b5b745b3625323009be913547d7fc5efd82
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$215.11
Total PnL
$-85.86
Realised
$-11.64
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
211 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.02
$15.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 15?
168 shares @ 15.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$22.70
$-3.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.40
$-5.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.01
$-1.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12?
1200 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.31Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$1.73Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$10.44Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$1.94Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$5.85Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 15?$11.88Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13?$136.00Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 15?$6.27Jun 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$4.88Jun 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 15?$8.66Jun 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$1.55Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$2.29Jun 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$6.50Jun 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$1.63Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$6.00Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$1.92Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$4.50Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$4.00Jun 13, 03:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.