Blushing-Recapitulation
0x4f326b663e4f2d46de1b0c0812e53adb61fb770a
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 20?$735.73Mar 25, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 20?$735.00Mar 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?$30.00Apr 28, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?$7.00Mar 28, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$75.08Mar 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$75.00Jan 23, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$64.10Jan 23, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$50.00Dec 22, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 22, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Dec 22, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 14, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$142.00Sep 10, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $149.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 03:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.