Reckless-Salmon
0x4f3602054b33a9ae8a7f0bf809a6bf692e93b9ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-362.39
Realised
$9.24
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
408 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
233 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-65.80
- YES
Fed rate cut by July meeting?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 8AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6PM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 10AM ET
154 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10AM ET
132 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 26 above $305?
124 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.00Feb 24, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$0.00Feb 24, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$11.11Feb 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$9.00Jan 28, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 26 above $335?$20.00Jan 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 26 above $305?$10.00Jan 28, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 29?$10.00Jan 28, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$25.00Jan 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$23.74Jan 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$24.00Sep 30, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?$23.65Sep 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$26.80Sep 29, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$27.78Sep 29, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$8.85Sep 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$10.00Sep 26, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$18.63Sep 26, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$15.00Sep 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Sep 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$3.71Sep 21, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.