Fumbling-Governance
0x4f39b88e4cc1a0cc383fc499d86be45824cc3c00
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$94.18
Total PnL
$-38.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?
218 shares @ 27.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$64.30
$4.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
10090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$15.13
$-5.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?
37 shares @ 37.1¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.49
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?
5334 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.67
$-5.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?
2509 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.25
$-3.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
417 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.21
$-19.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?
81 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.12
$-5.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$14.33May 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?$62.17May 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$76.20May 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?$6.28May 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$5.25May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?$8.40May 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$20.24May 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$17.32May 15, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.52May 15, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$5.23May 15, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.00May 15, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".