Exhausted-Pony
0x4f3a369f20bc6288b19f504ea9f5fd5ac1bea24d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.88
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
480 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-84.73
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on February 28?
364 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?
317 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?
65 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
44 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on February 28?$1.70Feb 20, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on February 28?$1.80Feb 20, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?$2.48Feb 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?$2.00Feb 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on February 28?$4.00Feb 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?$2.00Feb 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?$1.00Feb 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on February 28?$86.50Feb 19, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$86.50Feb 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$57.94Feb 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?$19.51Feb 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?$20.90Feb 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$21.88Feb 13, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$79.40Feb 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$25.00Feb 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$42.40Feb 12, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$20.10Feb 12, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $27.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".