Wallet digest

active

Activity score

56/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$4.93

Total PnL

$-134.51

Realised

$0.20

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 55

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$4.93
$2.91
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-2.25
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-2.25
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
810 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026
$0.00
$-2.70
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
475 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-4.75
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
289 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026
$0.00
$-2.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
289 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026
$0.00
$-2.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
278 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026
$0.00
$-2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
278 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-2.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
260 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026
$0.00
$-2.60

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.70Mar 18, 12:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.05Mar 18, 12:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$4.93Mar 18, 12:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 12:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 12:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$4.92Mar 18, 12:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 12:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$4.92Mar 18, 12:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 12:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 12:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 12:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$4.92Mar 18, 12:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.34Mar 18, 12:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.35Mar 18, 12:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.26Mar 18, 12:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.65Mar 18, 11:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.90Mar 18, 11:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.60Mar 18, 11:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.40Mar 18, 11:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.43Mar 18, 11:45 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity33 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry49 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk69 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 20
Avg trade size: $2.06
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 18, 10:54 UTC
Last active: Mar 18, 12:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:12:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data