Slight-Roast
0x4f3c303b7720a3d03e2312ba5a286f471123b6b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
100494 shares @ 74.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-75.2K
- DEMOCRATIC
House control after 2024 election?
45831 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
27949 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-11.1K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4225 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Kamala Sun Belt swing state sweep?
122 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump win no swing states?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$3.0KNov 8, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$75.0KNov 5, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.0KNov 5, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 5, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$300.00Nov 4, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$200.00Nov 4, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 4, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 12+ points?$50.00Nov 4, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?$40.00Nov 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Rust Belt swing state sweep?$30.00Nov 4, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Sun Belt swing state sweep?$20.00Nov 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Sun Belt swing state sweep?$15.00Nov 4, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win no swing states?$13.00Nov 4, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 4, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris blowout victory?$2.00Nov 4, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.