Fumbling-Workhorse
0x4f3de4137eda2581245ae913da5831fb59a8e9ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?$0.02Dec 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?$0.02Dec 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper DeJean win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Dec 14, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.02Dec 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.02Dec 14, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.02Dec 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in scoring?$0.02Dec 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A.J. Brown be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$0.02Dec 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$0.02Dec 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?$0.02Dec 2, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$0.02Dec 2, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$0.02Dec 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.02Dec 2, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$0.02Dec 2, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.02Dec 2, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$0.02Dec 2, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?$0.02Nov 22, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?$0.02Nov 22, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrés Ojeda win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$0.02Nov 22, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".