Slippery-Conduct
0x4f3e9198c58261ad7e84d4a0836da793b16ae340
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$94.02
Total PnL
$-34.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
101 shares @ 79.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.02
$14.02
- NO
Will Trump say "China" during his announcement on September 2?
2200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?
39 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-6.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 17?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$80.67May 22, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$80.98Jan 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$62.80Jan 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 17?$20.00Nov 17, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$82.80Nov 6, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$78.00Nov 3, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during his announcement on September 2?$22.00Sep 2, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?$6.24Dec 12, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $50.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".