0x4f41ee677ebbe73b613a43c74c1d345d8bc47f81
0x4f41ee677ebbe73b613a43c74c1d345d8bc47f81
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$79.16
Total PnL
$-8.95
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
15 shares @ 61.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$14.86
$5.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
15 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$14.84
$4.57
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
15 shares @ 63.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$14.80
$5.38
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$9.89
$2.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
6 shares @ 80.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$5.93
$1.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$5.00
$1.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$5.00
$2.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$3.94
$2.41
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
3 shares @ 34.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$2.92
$1.91
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$1.98
$0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.