Lumbering-Glue
0x4f4211c58e0b1cc6c784ea6c3d9330477473dd2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$672.15
Total PnL
$12.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 17?
265 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$254.39
$4.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?
114 shares @ 87.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$113.63
$13.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$101.09
$1.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?
223 shares @ 44.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$96.88
$-3.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?
57 shares @ 88.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$50.66
$0.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$48.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
22 shares @ 46.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.42
$-2.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?$106.47May 16, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?$50.22May 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?$50.29May 15, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 17?$150.37May 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 17?$100.33May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?$102.76May 15, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?$100.63May 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?$100.42May 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$18.00May 15, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$10.27May 15, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$14.93May 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$10.30May 14, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$101.01May 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$100.07May 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$10.16May 14, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?$100.30May 14, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$12.75May 13, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00May 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.10May 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.55May 13, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".