Untried-Brass
0x4f56b0b6d46695c31e6082861ff1fa51c8d24d0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$54.36
Total PnL
$-0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
11 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.70
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.26
$-0.00
- NO
Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.97
$-0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$-0.00
- NO
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$0.00
- NO
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.52
$-0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.16
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.16
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14?$1.36Jun 14, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14?$1.16Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 8-14?$1.16Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?$1.16Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.97Jun 14, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.08Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.08Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.82Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.06Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.06Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.06Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.26Jun 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14.99Jun 14, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 1?$1.01Jun 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$1.13Jun 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?$1.38Jun 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?$1.59Jun 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 1?$2.00Jun 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1?$8.86Jun 14, 08:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $14.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.