Messy-Threshold
0x4f57418a4f93b8da4c5d3e40f1979010d6d7795f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PA
9680 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Trump wins a solid blue state?
9127 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
7890 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
3841 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will a Republican win Illinois Presidential Election?
2400 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$21.9KNov 11, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$33.3KNov 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$149.4KNov 6, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.2KNov 6, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$500.00Nov 6, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins a solid blue state?$100.00Nov 6, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$30.00Nov 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PA $1000.00Nov 6, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$1000.00Nov 6, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins a solid blue state?$2.0KNov 6, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$2.0KNov 6, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Illinois Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.0KNov 6, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$1000.00Nov 6, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.0KNov 6, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$1000.00Nov 6, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$2.0KNov 6, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.0KNov 5, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$95.0KNov 5, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $16.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".