Stark-Melon
0x4f5a8854fe4865d367b1d0fc525ab5acbf51a7b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
9370 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-18.74
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
725 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "All Americans" or "Every American" in her speech after the election is called?
432 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
157 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$3.60Nov 6, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$4.50Nov 6, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "All Americans" or "Every American" in her speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 6, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 6, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$0.00Nov 6, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 250 times November 1-8?$0.00Nov 6, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 250-274 times November 1-8?$0.00Nov 6, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$0.00Nov 6, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin new all time high before election?$0.00Nov 6, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEM$100m in $WLFI sold before election?$0.00Nov 6, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$98.10Nov 6, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$13.74Nov 6, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$7.00Nov 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?$7.00Nov 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$5.00Nov 6, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$5.00Nov 6, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$3.04Nov 5, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times November 1-8?$1.00Nov 5, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250-274 times November 1-8?$1.00Nov 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times November 1-8?$1.00Nov 5, 01:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".