Reflecting-Trace
0x4f60e2b206dd071c3e75eae5be5c7202f849e979
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$7.48
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 21, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$1.00Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $580 before 2026?$1.01Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMChina coup attempt in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be the next CEO of X?$1.01Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.01Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine joins NATO in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $170.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".