Fickle-Necktie
0x4f627871c05526750cec8d72f761baeb4d908f39
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$17.08
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Brann win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ruby Wax win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 26, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?$1.01Dec 26, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMOver 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.01Dec 26, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFreddie Mac IPO in 2025?$0.97Dec 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Dec 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Edey win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Dec 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ruby Wax win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 4, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.00Dec 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$329.00Dec 3, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$47.50Dec 3, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$123.50Dec 3, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$500.00Dec 3, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $147.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.