Lanky-Pearl
0x4f654cf7ebdbc2a0c38343c32cd2741db6bfbed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.07
Total PnL
$-27.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
851 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
99 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.07Jul 17, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$0.22Jul 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6AM ET$11.69Jul 17, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.06Jul 17, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Jul 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.25Jul 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.12Jul 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.08Jul 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.30Jul 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.18Jul 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.06Jul 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.07Jul 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.70Jul 17, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.