Unwieldy-Cousin-Eddy
0x4f6950875b44741f201d3319c9780ce5e18050a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$600.67
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-254.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
811 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$279.65
$-20.35
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
487 shares @ 36.4¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$141.09
$-35.91
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
214 shares @ 46.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$70.46
$-29.54
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
225 shares @ 36.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$42.72
$-40.28
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$40.74
$-59.26
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
249 shares @ 40.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.65
$-76.35
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.36
$-47.64
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
669 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-227.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?
549 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
409 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$100.00Jul 22, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.05Jul 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.94Jul 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.04Jul 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.88Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.05Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$33.00Jul 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$33.08Jul 22, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$50.00Jul 22, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.14Jul 22, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Jul 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$77.00Jul 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$77.71Jul 22, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$100.88Jul 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$50.00Jul 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$50.08Jul 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$100.00Jul 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$50.00Jul 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$50.00Jul 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$20.00Jul 17, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $121.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.