Rowdy-Tortilla
0x4f69907f0b63c561926d20b97e3e38d373e849dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$953.83
Total PnL
$-7.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
934 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$732.91
$4.67
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
942 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$220.92
$70.23
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
887 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
887 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
887 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
887 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-62.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$734.65May 8, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$155.76May 8, 15:18 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$891.43May 8, 15:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:12 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$891.43May 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$886.88May 4, 15:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 13, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $151.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".