Agonizing-Lunch
0x4f715bf3f20283f5af52a8b3728a94887a545b48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on November 30?
669 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.23
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 November 24-30?
87 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 1?
85 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 3?
80 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?
80 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?
71 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,300 on November 30?
70 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 2?
70 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 29?
70 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 1?
70 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.97Jan 31, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$65.30Jan 12, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 1?$50.00Dec 2, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 3?$0.72Nov 28, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 30?$8.37Nov 28, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 29?$2.38Nov 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $120 in November?$2.27Nov 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 3?$2.52Nov 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 3?$2.56Nov 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on December 2?$2.63Nov 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 2?$2.40Nov 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 2?$2.38Nov 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 2?$2.45Nov 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 1?$2.39Nov 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 1?$2.52Nov 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 November 24-30?$2.43Nov 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,300 on November 30?$2.59Nov 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?$2.24Nov 28, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 30?$2.59Nov 28, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 29?$2.28Nov 28, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".