Vacant-Fritter
0x4f73249de3f35c2b7177040c3a0f61770b0fa5f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-45.31
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?
221 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-158.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 18?
208 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-91.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?
190 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-129.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?
150 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-55.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 23?
143 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?
125 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-51.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 23?
105 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 15?
100 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-38.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?
100 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-58.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 15?
100 shares @ 88.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-88.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$0.05Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?$11.46Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?$9.74Jun 1, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1?$2.00Jun 1, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$2.49Jun 1, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?$0.90Jun 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1?$5.13Jun 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?$2.49Jun 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?$1.15Jun 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?$0.66Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?$1.10Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 1?$5.03Jun 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?$11.19Jun 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$10.54Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?$29.97Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?$3.60May 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?$3.60May 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?$3.20May 31, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?$12.81May 31, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?$0.34May 31, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.