Courageous-State
0x4f73a38838b29c64f1b2a465cea4ec8e003fc3b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$5.89
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- SOLARY
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.72
$0.62
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.18
$0.04
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
2635 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2620 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 23?
2480 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
31 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- PISTONS
Clippers vs. Pistons
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs$1.11Jun 3, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$1.14Jun 3, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs$1.02Jun 3, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Athletics$2.63Jun 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Athletics$1.57May 31, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMITF Kosice: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Justina Mikulskyte$2.27May 31, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kosice: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Justina Mikulskyte$1.02May 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier$1.13May 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud$1.02May 21, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.14May 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$2.27May 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMHuzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercog$2.60May 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$1.02May 11, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan$1.02May 11, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$1.02May 11, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$1.02May 11, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinn$1.02Apr 30, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercog$2.01Apr 30, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?$1.02Apr 30, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.29Apr 30, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".