0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774
0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$64.12
Total PnL
$-318.75
Realised
$1.81
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?
180 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$44.10
$-11.70
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
34 shares @ 61.2¢·now 56.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.91
$-1.70
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
46 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.66
$-1.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?
1 shares @ 26.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.40
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
32 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.05
$-12.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?
1700 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-171.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 3?
184 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-74.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?
178 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2?
109 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$30.0725m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$4.7849m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$3.8249m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?$0.3554m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$1.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$1.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$1.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$2.812h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$0.762h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$2.572h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$1.552h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$1.552h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$15.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$4.482h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$0.222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$10.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$4.493h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$16.673h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?$26.543h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?$166.487h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 25m ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
