Homely-Lion
0x4f810314b496daed3c8ceaa098806c4f7b9f247f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$25.20
Total PnL
$-372.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
800 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.20
$-1.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
870 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-350.41
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
261 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$27.42Jun 4, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$20.21Feb 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$20.22Feb 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$1.05Feb 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$1.04Feb 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$19.99Feb 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?$19.99Feb 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?$19.97Feb 4, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 4, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.67Nov 4, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$3.62Nov 4, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 4, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$86.70Nov 4, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$17.70Nov 4, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$11.79Nov 4, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$7.20Nov 4, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$10.73Nov 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$17.79Nov 4, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$5.95Nov 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$90.51Nov 3, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $45.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".