Wan-Shoelace
0x4f86c6bef705ff1c3fc116264882a40a7461a3c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.44
Total PnL
$-0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will a Republican win Tennessee Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Biden drops out of presidential race?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Tennessee Presidential Election?$1.00May 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$1.00May 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?$1.00May 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$1.00May 29, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election?$1.00May 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?$1.00May 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 29, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".